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Last modified: February 09

Workshop on Stochastic Weather Generators
May 29th-June 1st, 2012, Roscoff, Brittany, France

Abstracts available here

Tuesday 29 May
Time
Topic
Speaker
08:30
Registration + coffee (Station Biologique)

09:00
Dynamic downscaling: Uncertainty in regional climate model experiments
S. Sain
09:40
Two conditional Stochastic Weather Generators for precipitation downscaling M. Vrac
10:20
Coffee/tea break
10:50 Improvement of Extreme Temperatures Probabilistic Short-Term Forecasting J. Collet
11:30 Simple regression models for multi-model ensembles
D. Stephenson
13:00 Lunch (Hotel Gulf Stream)
14:30 Uncertainty in extremes arising from unknown model parameters
P. Challenor
15:10 Physical parameter estimation using nonlinear Gaussian state-space model.
Application to the Lorenz-63 model and an atmospheric GCM

P. Tandeo
15:50  Coffee/tea break
16:20 Delivering local-scale climate scenarios for impact assessments in Europe
M. Semenov     
17:00 Daily spatio-temporal stochastic weather simulation
W. Kleiber

Wednesday 30 May
Time
Topic
Speaker
09:00
Stochastic models for single-site rainfall - recent model developments
V. Isham
09:40
Stochastic modelling in a nonstationary climate: local estimation for point
process rainfall models
J. Kaczmarska
10:20
Coffee/tea break
10:50 Markov-switching autoregressive models for wind time series V. Monbet
11:30 Gaussian state-space model for wind fields in the North-East Atlantic J. Bessac
13:00 Lunch (Hotel Gulf Stream)
15:00  Excursion to Ile de Batz
19:00 Drinks + traditional live music (Hotel Gulf Stream)
20:00 Workshop dinner (Hotel Gulf Stream)

Tuesday 29 May
Time
Topic
Speaker
09:00
Statistical simulation model for air temperatures: non stationarity,
non linearity and boundedness

S. Parey
09:40
A weather generator for generating multivariate climatic series
D. Allard            
10:20
Coffee/tea break
10:50 Stochastic seasonality of rainfall in New Zealand J. Sansom
11:30 Weather generators for the energy sector
P. Poncet,
M. Othmani
13:00 Lunch (Hotel Gulf Stream)
14:30 Weather generators and extreme value theory
P. Naveau
15:10 Improving the simulation of extremes by stochastic weather generators
R. Katz
15:50  Coffee/tea break
16:20 Modeling stochastic event set to measure the financial exposure to natural
 disasters in France

J. Ardon,
D. Moncoulon
17:00 Data assimilation through conditional simulation in a stochastic Navier-Stokes
model
J.-L. Marchand

Friday 1st June
Time
Topic
Speaker
09:00
A hidden seasonal switching model for multisite daily rainfall P. Thomson
09:40
An R based rainfall generator using a stochastic seasonal switching model T. Carey-Smith
10:20
Coffee/tea break
10:50 Hidden Markov models for daily rainfall P. Ailliot
11:30 A hidden Markov model for clustering mixed linear and circular data with
missing values
J. Bulla
13:00 Lunch (Hotel Gulf Stream)